While there will not be any good Top 25 matchups this week – apologies, Florida followers – there are three ascending favorites that supply some worth and a Big Ten workforce with an opportunity to not solely cover the unfold however pull an outright upset.
After a worthwhile opening weekend, regression hit this house arduous final week. Let’s get it as soon as extra!
Here are my 5 favourite bets on the CFB slate for this weekend (with all odds via FOX Bet).
Luke Fickell distractions apart – cough, USC, cough – this seems like a monumental sport for the Bearcats. If Cincinnati wins, it will set up a attainable extreme 10 battle in two weeks with Notre Dame.
Poor Hoosiers. The Bearcats will be the second extreme 25 opponent Indiana faces this month. We already seen what occurred when the Hoosiers carried out a formidable opponent the primary time, with them getting pounded by Iowa 34-6 contained in the opener.
Indiana obtained proper right here into the season overvalued for just some causes. First, they’d three wins within the course of Top 25 groups, however these occurred all by means of a covid-shortened 2020 season. Next, their star quarterback Michael Penix obtained proper right here into the 12 months off an ACL damage.
The Bearcats will have the correct QB on the sphere in potential 1st spherical decide Desmond Ridder and do not sleep on their security, which is ranked ninth contained in the nation in yards per play allowed (3.74).
The Bruins come into this sport off of a bye week, which might very properly be a nasty concern. You know, for 13 days predominant as loads as this sport, all the avid players might very properly be discovering out social media about how unbelievable they’re and the way in which wherein this system is as soon as extra. If that is the workforce’s angle, they will get beat by a frisky Fresno State workforce that lined and nearly beat Oregon.
But, I will proceed to experience UCLA, who manhandled Hawaii and LSU contained in the trenches. Expect a complete lot of the an an identical within the course of the Bulldogs, who let Oregon rush for 186 yards.
Worth contemplating: UCLA travels to Stanford subsequent week for its first highway sport of the season. The Cardinal merely blasted the Trojans and bought them to fireside their coach. Stanford has furthermore obtained 12 of 13 vs. UCLA.
If the Bruins weren’t coming off of a bye, I’d be additional involved about this being a look-ahead spot. Instead, I’m anticipating UCLA to maintain enterprise.
ALABAMA (-14) at FLORIDA
The Gators are 2-0 to begin the season. But I won’t put an excessive amount of inventory in these wins, as Florida dispatched two tomato cans exterior of the perfect 75, and so they additionally have not needed to go away the state nevertheless.
In comes No. 1 Alabama, which led Mercer 38-0 final weekend prior to giving up two second-half touchdowns that left Nick Saban sad.
The public utterly remembers Alabama struggling to place away Florida contained in the 2020 SEC title sport, a sport which they escaped with a 52-46 win. More importantly, the Crimson Tide did not cover the unfold in that matchup. Of course, three offensive starters (who scored three TDs) from that Florida workforce are at present on NFL rosters.
Alabama QB Bryce Young will play his first sport on the highway, however he is dealing with a Gators secondary with three new starters.
On the opposite finish, Gators’ starter Emory Jones has thrown 4 interceptions in two video video video games, and Dan Mullen – who’s 0-10 within the course of Nick Saban – will combine in backup QB Anthony Richardson.
This line is just too excessive, however you may pay the Alabama tax till they do not cover.
The Tide are 11-4 ATS of their final 15 video video video games as double-digit favorites. Roll Tide!
Strong lean: Over 58.5 points scored by both teams combined
MICHIGAN STATE (+6.5) AT MIAMI
Miami was pummeled by Alabama after which struggled to place away App State final week. Now they face one completely different robust take a look at contained in the Spartans.
As good as Michigan State appeared of their win over Northwestern, you will have to shock if the Spartans will be prepared for the tempo and expertise of this rebuilding Miami security.
This sport in the long term comes correct all the way in which all the way down to Sparty RB Kenneth Walker, who’s fourth contained in the nation with 321 dashing yards. If Miami cannot cease the dynamic working as soon as extra, Michigan State will administration the tempo and time of possession – which could additionally finish in an beneath (56.5, down from 59.5). Walker, a 2-star recruit, is averaging an absurd 10.7 yards per carry.
Meanwhile, Miami has struggled big-time contained in the crimson zone, scoring merely two touchdowns in eight journeys this season.
This sport’s line opened at 8, and there is been various Michigan State cash early. Enough cash to push the road by way of the important issue variety of 7.
I’ll even be sprinkling significantly on the MSU moneyline, so make sure you place in your favourite inexperienced and white shirt Saturday.
AUBURN at PENN STATE (-5.5)
Between the “White Out” environment in Happy Valley Saturday night time and the highway struggles of Auburn QB Bo Nix, it is robust to not like the house chalk correct proper right here regardless of the curious line motion.
The Nittany Lions opened as 7-point favorites, however the highway has been guess correct all the way in which all the way down to the ineffective variety of 5.
It’s a difficult spot for the Tigers, who opened the season within the course of FCS Alabama State and the 2nd lowest-rated workforce contained in the FBS (per FPI), Akron. In actuality, Auburn hasn’t overwhelmed a ranked workforce provided that 2020 dwelling opener within the course of Kentucky (29-13).
I went within the course of Penn State contained in the opener, however they led within the course of Wisconsin from begin to end, notching a sturdy highway win.
Nix might be going a few of the completed highschool QBs to enter Auburn, however he is been below-average on the highway over his profession. In 12 highway video video video games, Nix has by no means thrown for 300 yards and has merely 13 TDs and 12 INTs.
Penn State’s QB Sean Clifford struggled in 2020 however hasn’t had a turnover by way of two video video video games. Look for that to proceed this weekend.
I’ll roll with the Nittany Lions on this spot!
Credits : foxnews