If his scepticism comes true, it will be an enormous come down for the social gathering, which returned to energy with an enormous majority in 2017- bagging 312 of the 403 Assembly seats. Commenting on the current state of affairs, when ministers and MLAs are quitting BJP, Girish Chandra Tripathi, Chairman UP State Council for Higher Education and former Vice-Chancellor, BHU remarked: “Don’t do unto others what you don’t like being done to you.” Far away from politics, Prof. Tripathi nonetheless, feels that “if someone is saying something, one should hear the person out.”
“We were much ahead. But now we need to fight it out,” mentioned a senior saffron chief. While the Brahmins had been apparently upset with the ruling administration, the BJP was assured of countering the disaster with the help of the Other Backward Classes (OBC), which embrace non-Jatavs and non-Yadavs.
In the final 48 hours, a number of OBC leaders together with a minister, SP Maurya, former minister, Dara Singh Chauhan and 4 MLAs Roshan Lal Verma, Brijesh Prajapati, Bhagwati Sagar and Vinay Shakya have stop the social gathering and could be becoming a member of Akhilesh Yadav led Samajwadi Party.
Maurya claimed that his exit would trigger an “earthquake” for the BJP. Nearly 24 hours after his exit an arrest warrant has been issued in opposition to Maurya over a hate speech he made in 2014.
Earthquake or not, BJP insiders felt that the exit of the OBC leaders would hit the social gathering onerous in the coming polls. Maurya is a robust OBC chief and a five-time MLA. He joined the BJP in 2016 after quitting Bahujan Samaj Party. His daughter Sanghmitra Maurya is a BJP MP from Badaun Lok Sabha Constituency. In 2017, BJP, following its alliances with smaller backward events had nearly garnered a majority of the OBC votes. With eight per cent, Maurya’s neighborhood by the way is the third largest OBC in the state. Therefore, with Maurya and others exit, this could ship a significant blow to BJP’s OBC vote financial institution.
Sources mentioned that on December 25, a few of the prime Brahmin BJP leaders met Union Minister and total in-charge of state elections, Dharmendra Pradhan alleged that Yogi being a Rajput was being perceived as “anti-Brahmin.” They additionally demanded that “more tickets” ought to be given to Brahmin candidates. While Brahmins are presupposed to be about 12 per cent of the state’s inhabitants, Rajputs are almost eight per cent. It might be recalled that SP not solely indicated that it might give an “adequate” variety of tickets to Brahmin but additionally promised to revive the public vacation to commemorate Parashuram and construct a “magnificent” statute of his. Besides the Brahmin, OBC disaster, the BJP was additionally apprehending consolidation of the Muslim votes in favour of SP.
Taking. a cue from the West Bengal, the state’s almost 17 per cent of the Muslim inhabitants could “now vote together in SP’s favour,” a senior BJP chief feared.
Besides the tremor in the caste and neighborhood cauldron, a few of the BJP leaders felt that after the second COVID wave, the social gathering’s core vote bank–the center class and merchants have been drifting away from the social gathering. “We are talking about Hindutva while Akhilesh is focusing more on economic issues. We should realise that following price rise, inflation, unemployment, the middle class is slipping away,” the chief mentioned. He then grimly added that, “the relatives of the COVID victims in the state might not even return to us.”
The farmers’ agitation and RLD’s alliance with the SP could additionally turn into a significant explanation for concern for the BJP in western UP. The western UP has. a significant presence of Dalits, Muslims, Jats and OBCs. In japanese UP, the Brahmin, OBC points proceed to hang-out the social gathering.
Even as the BJP appeared to be on the backfoot at this juncture, the saffron titan, Prime Minister, Narendra Modi main the cost could be the social gathering’s trump card. As BJP’s saviour, Modi is predicted to rally in “every strategic location” throughout the state. Union Home Minister, Amit Shah has additionally been working spherical the clock and have been holding core group conferences.
Some of the social gathering leaders hope no matter the obvious bother, the spiritual polarisation could lastly save the day for the BJP. “Who can be more bhagwa than Modi,” he mentioned indicating that “Brahmins are all about Bhagwa and who is a better and bigger Hindu leader than Modi Ji.” BJP was additionally hoping that All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul(AIMIM) chief, Asaduddin Owaisi’s rhetorics could additionally assist BJP’s trigger. Recently The Hindu quoted him saying: If the minorities need to stay politically related, they should discard political secularism.” Owaisi criticised Congress, BJP and SP for their approach towards Muslims. BJP is hoping that if Owaisi “magic works,” it would eventually benefit the lotus brigade.